The Reserve
Bank of India’s reputation as a regulator is rock-solid in the global financial
system. It now has to ensure that its regulation on NBFCs has the life span of a
turtle
SOMEONE
once gave regulation one-fifth the life span of a chimpanzee. India has seen
numerous examples where the regulator tries to erect walls around a particular
sector, only to find that business has found a way around. Some of these
sidesteps can be labelled as criminal, but most of these instances can be
clubbed into what is now known as “regulatory arbitrage”, which means utilising
gaps in the existing regulatory framework without violating the law of the land.
There is a regulatory arbitrage occurring right now, which has the Reserve Bank
scrambling to plug the loopholes. This involves nonbanking finance companies
(NBFCs), especially those promoted by foreign banks or even those sired by
international financial giants. The central bank is now planning to come out
with regulation that endeavours to eliminate the NBFC-spawned arbitrage.
Foreign
banks are keen to expand their footprint, and given India’s growth rate, they
want it all done now! India is currently the hot new thing on the global
investment block and everybody desperately wants in. Even foreign banks that
once found business in India only marginally engaging now suddenly want to hitch
their wagons to this emerging economic powerhouse. For example, certain European
banks, which, in an exemplary display of foresight, had deliberately shrunk
their Indian businesses in the ’90s, are today jostling to catch a piece of the
action. And, this requires branch expansion of an unprecedented scale.
The trend
has now taken a curious twist. The RBI has now stopped a few banks from opening
or operating NBFCs, without doing anything about the existing ones. Barclays,
Deutsche Bank and HSBC find their applications for NBFCs lost in a
black hole. Interestingly, NBFCs launched by non-banks have sailed through — in
addition to GE Money, US insurance giant AIG recently got the nod to launch and
operate an NBFC. So did Singapore’s Temasek, which bought over an existing NBFC
(something reportedly done by Goldman Sachs). In the midyear review of its
2006-07 credit and monetary policy, the RBI has even allowed these NBFCs to
issue co-branded credit cards and sell MF products. This puts them somewhat on
par with banks.
The RBI’s
concern with bank-run NBFCs is not totally out of place. Many of these NBFCs
extend risky loans, including loans to speculate in the capital markets. This is
risky on two counts — first, any default can lead to an impairment of the parent
bank’s capital. But the riskier proposition is the contagion effect it may have
on the system as a whole. Most of these NBFCs are heavily leveraged, which means
they borrow in multiples of their capital (can be 10-15 times) from the market
to finance their lending operations. So, any slight slippage might affect even
the lenders, who in turn might knock over another chain of financial agents in
the system.
In all
likelihood, the RBI might opt for stricter regulation of the banks that have
promoted NBFCs. For instance, it might choose to treat a bank and its family of
NBFCs as a conglomerate, inviting consolidated supervision, including imposition
of ceilings on the conglomerate’s lending to industrial groups. There might even
be stricter norms introduced for bank financing of NBFCs against shares,
debentures and PSU bonds, in addition to finding ways that staunch the flow of
bank funds to the capital market through NBFCs. Another alternative would be
closer coordination with Sebi for regulating finance companies that are engaged
exclusively in the stock markets. The overall purport of the new NBFC policy
will be to make a distinction between bank-sponsored NBFCs and independent ones,
against the current difference of deposit-accepting and nondeposit accepting
NBFCs.
All that’s
fair enough. But there’s another problem here: if the RBI shuts the door now, it
presents a new kind of hazard. It provides the existing foreign banks with an
unfair advantage over the others, which might then induce the excluded lot to
indulge in an extreme form of regulatory arbitrage. The top five foreign banks
already account for 82% of the total profit reported by all the 30 MNC banks in
the country. Any form of prospective selection through regulatory fiat might
only enhance this discrimination. The Institute of Chartered Accountants of
India shut the door on foreign accounting firms some years ago, but only after
it had allowed in a couple of the foreign firms. However, the ones left standing
outside the gates still managed to sneak in through cracks in the wall. MNC
banks, deprived of either branches or NBFCs, might be also tempted to attempt
something extreme, thereby putting the entire system to even a greater risk. The
RBI’s reputation as a regulator is rock-solid in the global financial system; it
now has to ensure that its regulation on NBFCs has the life span of a turtle.
Published as an Op-Ed in The Economic Times (November 1, 2006)
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